CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-02-17T20:23:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-02-17T20:23ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/23802/-1
CME Note: Asymmetric halo CME associated with X2.2 flare from AR3229 (N25E65) at 17/1957UT, with an EUVI wave and with the eruption seen as dimming (as far east as -20 deg), best noticeable in STEREO A EUVI 195. The bright bulk of the CME seems to have gone in the more Eastern direction. The likely arrival of this CME is signified by a sharp increase in magnetic field to 14 nT, accompanied by a sudden jump in ion density to over 17 particles/cm^3 and of the solar wind speed from 370 to 430 km/s.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-02-20T09:52Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-02-19T23:16Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 66.6667%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.71429 - 6.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -16499.07 hour(s)
Difference: 10.60 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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